Polymarket Trader

Wunder-Bar

0xcaa7d05f66715e4540158cbfdc94c40579380242

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.81
Realized PnL: $12.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $3.88
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Trump name "Keir" or "Starmer" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Trump name "Newsom" or "Newscum" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Yes 91% 1.1 shares
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

No 77.7% 1.29 shares
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Yes 86.5% 1.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Yes 94.9% 1.05 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Yes 25% 3.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Down 27% 3.31 shares
Will Trump attend UFC 327?

No 12% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 45% 2.05 shares