No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $36.2K
- Potential payout
- $40.45K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Polymarket Trader
QMG-CORE
0xcaab19659b995951a44cc992447cb2ad5be324dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.61K
- Realized PnL
- $55.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $797.39
- Potential payout
- $30.09K
- Potential profit
- $29.29K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $16.07K
- Potential payout
- $16.37K
- Potential profit
- $302.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $242.29
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $15.39K
- Potential payout
- $15.54K
- Potential profit
- $147.65
- User PnL
- $633.23
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $15.02K
- Potential payout
- $15.21K
- Potential profit
- $190.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $456.43
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $12.92K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.06K
- Potential payout
- $12.17K
- Potential profit
- $115.64
- User PnL
- -$24.52
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.14K
- Potential payout
- $11.18K
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- User PnL
- $185.57
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $8.35K
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $338.69
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $178.96
No position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $8.01K
- Potential payout
- $8.05K
- Potential profit
- $44.29
- User PnL
- $191.63
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $7.31K
- Potential payout
- $7.52K
- Potential profit
- $202.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $85.55
No position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $7.1K
- Potential payout
- $7.23K
- Potential profit
- $122.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $163.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.14K
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $645.02
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $940.16
No position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.74K
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- $95.6
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.97K
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $626.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $118.57
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.06K
- Potential payout
- $6.56K
- Potential profit
- $495.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $145.73
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.25K
- Potential payout
- $6.3K
- Potential profit
- $40.92
- User PnL
- $132.11
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.96K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- $207.93
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.97K
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- User PnL
- $119.53
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $467.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $162.45
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $365.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $104.75
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $4.23K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $769.99
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$191.97
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.95K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $37.44
- User PnL
- $61.02
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $4.64K
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $309.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$103.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $13.47K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 1,000 shares
- Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No 99% 49 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No 99% 100 shares
- Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?No 99% 368.8 shares
- Will Meta acquire TikTok?No 99.2% 1,110 shares
- Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?No 99.2% 129.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?No 99.1% 223.86 shares
- Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 1,317.28 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?No 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 134.29 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 31.1% 415.39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares