No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $976.4
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $334.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $439.05
Polymarket Trader
autumnwolf
0xcaaf808e66191bfb9782517be7c55599c0518031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $6.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $392.63
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $683.08
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $142.57
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $95.85
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $804.15
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- $12.15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $750.01
- User PnL
- -$567.51
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $729.06
- Potential profit
- $729.06
- User PnL
- -$240.59
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$250
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.3% 900 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 202.61 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 51% 75.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 873.1 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 43% 75.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 41% 2,021.95 shares
- Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Yes 33% 729.06 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 55% 454.55 shares