Polymarket Trader

ki11

0xcac4d66021f8595af6981150c0a4eb3695766ece

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.6
Realized PnL: $39.84
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.7
Potential profit: $807.7
User PnL: -$70.16

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.33
Potential profit: $129.33
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.93
Potential profit: $67.93
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$23

Seattle Storm position

Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yanan Hou position

ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Yanan Hou

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.31
Potential profit: $13.31
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $4.05
User PnL: -$3

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.84
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Fanming Meng position

ITF Luan: Fanming Meng vs Tianhui Zhang

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.76

Pistons position

Suns vs. Pistons

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

LGD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

No 63% 2.84 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 6.98 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 4.05 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 3.45 shares
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

No 79% 8.81 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

No 75% 6.67 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

No 87% 5.75 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 57% 3.51 shares