No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- User PnL
- -$28.46
Polymarket Trader
CuervoArgos
0xcacc0e8b327074dba9883da5cc51396a865a2eac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $234.05
- Realized PnL
- $3.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$75.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$73.55
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$79.1
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.63
Yes position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$18.76
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$60.74
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $906.93
- Potential profit
- $906.93
- User PnL
- -$197.38
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.94
- Potential profit
- $899.94
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $842.14
- Potential profit
- $842.14
- User PnL
- -$75.33
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.01
- Potential profit
- $705.01
- User PnL
- -$17
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.47
- Potential profit
- $461.47
- User PnL
- -$34
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.78
- Potential profit
- $419.78
- User PnL
- -$3
Y
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.55
- Potential profit
- $415.55
- User PnL
- -$9
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $151.74
- Potential payout
- $374.66
- Potential profit
- $222.92
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $57.01
Yes position
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.65
- Potential profit
- $314.65
- User PnL
- -$30
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $77.49
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $172.49
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $24.58
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $223.05
- Potential profit
- $221.6
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.41
- Potential profit
- $175.41
- User PnL
- -$7
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $136.36
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.93
- Potential profit
- $127.93
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.39
- Potential profit
- $115.39
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.89
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.04
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.99
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.43
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.93
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.92
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.64
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.76
Y
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $68.46
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.57
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.38
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.39
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.88
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $27.52
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.82
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 47% 40.81 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 49% 40.82 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 50% 25 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 72.5% 122.65 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 86.9% 1.15 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 83.1% 2.41 shares
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal 12% 33.33 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes 10% 41.66 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 12% 12.93 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 36% 2.78 shares