No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $185.92
- Potential payout
- $197.47
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $65.92
Polymarket Trader
0xcadd...adaa
0xcadde86e9bdf5807920f44a8222c9814bfdcadaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $221.25
- Realized PnL
- -$11.83
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $18.93
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $16.41
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $30.47
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.64
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 66.4% 150.64 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 82.6% 12.11 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 28.8% 34.72 shares
- Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 3% 333.33 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 40.6% 27.97 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 78% 12.82 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 66% 15.15 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 93.7% 21.34 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 84% 238.1 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 18.07 shares