Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.7
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Polymarket Trader
okdrama
@Adycjaa
0xcae2a224a9bad16dcf28ab9e3fbb6db367aea709
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.05
- Realized PnL
- $1.47
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $186.5
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99
- Potential profit
- $99
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Yes position
Will 熬鹰 win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $28.74
- User PnL
- -$8.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will MrRolex win the Aster trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 93% 2.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 92% 2.17 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 80% 60 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 80% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 99.1% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 75% 100 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes 42.1% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 70% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 0.9% 510 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 93% 50 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Yes 3.6% 99 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 40.3% 24.81 shares