No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $24.39
- Potential payout
- $77.42
- Potential profit
- $53.03
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.39
Polymarket Trader
poutsadin
0xcaf42ed2fb0def2131fcec793aad163c98ba191b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.02
- Realized PnL
- $31.37
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $19.21
- Potential payout
- $72.5
- Potential profit
- $53.29
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $28.83
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $26.98
- Potential profit
- $25.09
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $21.93
- Potential profit
- $20.05
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.17
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.06
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.35
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $31.37
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 27.6% 72.5 shares
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 25.8% 77.42 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?No 69% 4.35 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?No 19.5% 10.25 shares
- Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?No 11.1% 26.98 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No 85% 1.89 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes 17% 9.46 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 11% 9.09 shares
- Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Yes 8.6% 11.63 shares
- Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Yes 9.1% 21.93 shares