Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$8
Polymarket Trader
61452
0xcaf97e15b42090b277142d467313ab394531876e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $244.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467
- Potential profit
- $467
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.62
- Potential profit
- $274.62
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.97
- Potential profit
- $219.97
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $184
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Yes 56% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?Yes 82.8% 1.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?Yes 27% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?Yes 42% 7.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 8?Yes 25% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?Yes 34% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?Yes 25% 5.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?Yes 47% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 7?Yes 20% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?Yes 2% 74.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 6?Yes 31% 17 shares