Polymarket Trader

0xcaff...e3ad

0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $37.06
Realized PnL: $42.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Chris Rock attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

No position

Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

No position

Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Mike McGuire advance from the CA-01 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Rakhi Israni Singh advance from the CA-14 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Kevin Lincoln II advance from the CA-13 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Yes 97.1% 10 shares
Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Yes 83% 10 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 37% 9 shares
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?

Yes 44% 10 shares
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Yes 81% 10 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 79% 10 shares
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 25.8% 10 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

No 58% 10 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?

No 67% 10 shares