No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.47
- Potential profit
- $23.47
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Polymarket Trader
TemperatureMan
0xcb05740f6ad16d7c274edd85c24fb8c9104725aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.56
- Realized PnL
- $90.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.35
- Potential payout
- $23.36
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $23.01
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.88
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- User PnL
- -$19.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $22.23
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $20.81
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.24
- Potential profit
- $22.24
- User PnL
- -$19.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.31
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 28?No 88% 14.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 26?No 85.6% 23.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 25?No 88% 22.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 26?No 84% 22.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 25?No 87% 22.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?No 89.8% 22.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 26?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 24?No 88.5% 22.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?No 90% 7.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?No 89% 15 shares