OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $82.11
- Potential payout
- $322
- Potential profit
- $239.89
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$20.93
Polymarket Trader
EricLiu6765
0xcb25e39e76ef6fc1d5f0703e3d6cead161905b6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $383.46
- Realized PnL
- $5.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $235.69
- Potential payout
- $259
- Potential profit
- $23.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $64.07
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Current value
- $41.31
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.6%
- Current value
- $12.42
- Potential payout
- $18.12
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $10.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $436.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.92
No position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.47
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 10 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.54
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.28
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.08
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.43
N
No position
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.98
No position
Will Trump say "Secretary of War" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.48
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.86
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $189.25
Yes position
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.8
No position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.87
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.46
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158
Levante UD position
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.95
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.5
Yes position
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $146.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.95
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.62
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $133.44
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.9
Yes position
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No 88% 571 shares
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No 67% 335 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No 22% 980 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?No 23% 989 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 41% 675 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No 41% 31 shares
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No 75% 478 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No 23% 980 shares
- Will Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?No 43% 828 shares
- Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No 89% 571 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?No 33% 989 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 40% 766 shares