No position
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
tim41
0xcb2b35e62a4d739b1579125e4b170d4f0e4a6555
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.01
- Realized PnL
- $40.32
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.42
- Potential profit
- $225.42
- User PnL
- -$16.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.41
- Potential profit
- $198.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.91
- Potential profit
- $135.91
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.43
- Potential profit
- $132.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.55
- Potential profit
- $129.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.91
- Potential profit
- $45.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.91
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- User PnL
- -$2.99
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.08
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.64
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.25
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?Yes 15% 2.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?No 31% 1.12 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?Yes 11% 1.42 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 12?Yes 70% 1.43 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 12?Yes 8% 1.81 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 13?No 61% 1.64 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 11?Yes 7.1% 3.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?Yes 39% 2.56 shares