0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12M
Potential profit: $2.12M
User PnL: -$27.84K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11M
Potential profit: $2.11M
User PnL: -$27.83K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11M
Potential profit: $2.11M
User PnL: -$27.82K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11M
Potential profit: $2.11M
User PnL: -$27.81K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04M
Potential profit: $2.04M
User PnL: -$26.87K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $2M
User PnL: -$26.35K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98M
Potential profit: $1.98M
User PnL: -$25.99K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94M
Potential profit: $1.94M
User PnL: -$25.49K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86M
Potential profit: $1.86M
User PnL: -$24.45K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78M
Potential profit: $1.78M
User PnL: -$23.42K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77M
Potential profit: $1.77M
User PnL: -$23.22K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74M
Potential profit: $1.74M
User PnL: -$22.95K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.65M
User PnL: -$21.67K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $678K
Potential profit: $678K
User PnL: -$8.92K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665.71K
Potential profit: $665.71K
User PnL: -$8.76K

Yes position

Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.61K
Potential profit: $293.61K
User PnL: -$146.81K

Yes position

Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.76K
Potential profit: $268.76K
User PnL: -$7.47K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.58K
Potential profit: $255.58K
User PnL: -$3.36K

Yes position

Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.82K
Potential profit: $126.82K
User PnL: -$3.52K

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $106.55K
Potential profit: $104.37K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.2K
Potential profit: $98.2K
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.09K
Potential profit: $96.09K
User PnL: -$397.04

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $88.11K
Potential profit: $86.57K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.21K

Yes position

Will Jake Bobo win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.45K
Potential profit: $85.45K
User PnL: -$1.15K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.42K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.47K

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 38.1%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $125.92K

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.11K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.87K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.74K

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $81.07K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.35K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 23.9%
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $58.08K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 26.1%
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: $48.19K

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.67K

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58K

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $5.57K

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.69x
User PnL: $5.47K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8K

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?