Polymarket Trader

0xcb39...6dda

0xcb39f69efc6b293aa8b72d3164fafffe78986dda

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $123.92
Realized PnL: $125.77
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $386.45
Potential profit: $381.81
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$25.36

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $101.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $103.89
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.53
Potential profit: $52.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $21.88
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.09
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.84

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $29.98
Potential payout: $30.21
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $20.07
Potential payout: $20.13
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $18.42
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $8.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.01

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.53

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.22

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.61

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$14.81

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 10.64 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.3% 10.07 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.3% 10.07 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 99.5% 46.06 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 99.5% 24.37 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.3% 10.07 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 99.5% 0.02 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 99.5% 7.74 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 34% 29.41 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 99.3% 10.07 shares