Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Polymarket Trader
UmplaRetard
0xcb3b7d88f2e74074f544370f2d480b531957e6f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $26.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.68
No position
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Trump say 'term limit' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Bayern Munich position
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.48
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 3.9% 74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 36 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 91.3% 48 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 91.3% 48 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 44 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 50 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 50 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 28 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 56 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 56 shares