Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $499.43
- Potential payout
- $543.45
- Potential profit
- $44.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $26.3
Polymarket Trader
NoTeacher
0xcb48f490d8579832e56954cb31dfee630d59be6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $884.06
- Realized PnL
- $583.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $248.18
- Potential payout
- $357.15
- Potential profit
- $108.97
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$30.39
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $84.69
- Potential payout
- $214.41
- Potential profit
- $129.72
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $150.9
- Potential profit
- $145.77
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$46.01
Yes position
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $96.92
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $79.83
- Potential profit
- $77.39
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $42.76
- Potential payout
- $56.26
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $6.84
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.26
No position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.81
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $74.75
No position
Will Apple announce an Apple Smart Home Display during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.66
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $17.69
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.38
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.34
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 76% 25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 72% 10.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 78% 330.45 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 60% 29.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 59% 132.72 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 46% 11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 46% 11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 76% 84.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 55% 13.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 54% 591.63 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 84% 400.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 55% 240 shares