No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- User PnL
- $16.31
Polymarket Trader
ParsnipDessert
0xcb5418d1765ea38bb34086dcd285c1c4253c386a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.12K
- Realized PnL
- $346.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.72
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.72
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.74
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.29
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.2% 449.97 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,098.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 2,054.68 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No 99.9% 2,025.96 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes 99.9% 2,019.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 2,003.84 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes 99.9% 284.54 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,985.87 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.8% 1,940.43 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 1,936.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No 99% 1,804.44 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No 98.9% 112.79 shares