Polymarket Trader

user297814qgw

0xcb58959b9a016b4e502a4f593e82d0b80e6accd0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.22
Realized PnL: $31.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.51
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$11.01

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.6
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Ends Feb 15, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.03

Yes position

Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth <0%?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.53
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$3.53

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.18
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.18

No position

Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.32

No position

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.8%
Current value: $34.39
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.61
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$12.66

Yes position

Will William Mouw win the 2026 ISCO Championship?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $36.26
Potential profit: $34.54
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Intel (INTC) Q2 Foundry revenue be above $7B?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.9
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Dan J. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.27
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.11
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.41
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.19

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Adilet win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Ends Aug 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.86
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.19
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will Brice Turang hit a home run at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Lyon Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Haley Thogmartin win Big Brother season 28?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?

No 83% 50 shares
Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?

No 5% 50 shares
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?

No 82% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 16?

No 86% 0.01 shares
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?

No 81.6% 50 shares
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 1.2% 50 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?

Yes 16% 50 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Yes 10% 9.43 shares
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 89% 50 shares
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

No 87% 33 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 5.9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 16?

No 76% 20 shares