Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $65.55
- Potential profit
- $61.78
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Polymarket Trader
0xcb65a3b0d540417f482AFF24F01bE58F0CC9d87C-1778842525334
0xcb65a3b0d540417f482aff24f01be58f0cc9d87c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.57
- Realized PnL
- $173.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.3%
- Current value
- $7.54
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $9.57
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $8.44
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $8.44
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $8.11
- Potential payout
- $8.29
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.01
- Potential payout
- $8.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $7.53
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $6.46
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $6.11
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $4.41
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Berrettini position
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5)
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $44.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Yes position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No 99.9% 8.01 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 97% 8.25 shares
- Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5Over 99% 6.58 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 48% 5.41 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 47% 0.26 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 47% 0.5 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 47% 0.89 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48% 0.68 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 49% 2.39 shares
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 55% 14.54 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 91% 8.66 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.6% 8.06 shares