No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $304.75
- Potential payout
- $304.9
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $4.75
Polymarket Trader
0xCB6FE95945a468AB6BCC4b6294e7aF98Cd54317f-1778487048226
0xcb6fe95945a468ab6bcc4b6294e7af98cd54317f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $4.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $206.8
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $197.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $194.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $139.2
- Potential payout
- $139.27
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $39.2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $122.79
- Potential payout
- $129.73
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $117.42
- Potential payout
- $117.48
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $83.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.95
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $17.53
- Potential payout
- $94.76
- Potential profit
- $77.23
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.7
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $38.91
- Potential payout
- $40.53
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $31.54
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $1.54
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $16.79
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $13.62
- Potential profit
- $9.41
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.74
- Potential payout
- $11.57
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.1%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $9.67
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 2.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $280.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Multiplier
- 9.26x
- User PnL
- $36.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $24.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.98
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $22.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $13.8
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $10.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 19?Yes 0.2% 42.5 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 3.9% 50 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 25% 69.76 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 24.8% 25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 0.19 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 81.6% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 21% 110 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?No 92.4% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 19?Yes 8.2% 37.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?Yes 31% 48.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 19?No 71.8% 139.27 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.2% 2.64 shares