Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
0xcb74...ac45
0xcb742b898612b18b08011e82b26143a4529cac45
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.59
- Realized PnL
- $134.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $9.36
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $8.44
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $8.36
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $7.79
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 2 above $410?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 33.5% 9.13 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Yes 41% 3 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 81% 2.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 44% 2.98 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 21% 7 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 43% 11.91 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 24% 7.75 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 68% 7.1 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 20% 6.25 shares
- Meta (META) Up or Down on May 11?Up 47% 9 shares
- Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No 62% 9.15 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 62% 7.11 shares