No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $884.08
- Potential profit
- $884.08
- User PnL
- -$870.74
Polymarket Trader
gekko123456
0xcb767403d3fec484385b6a278152223384797a89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.16K
- Realized PnL
- $428.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $662.98
- Potential payout
- $676.51
- Potential profit
- $13.53
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $664.58
- Potential payout
- $673.67
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $659.89
- Potential payout
- $669.26
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $661.77
- Potential payout
- $662.1
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $512.8
- Potential payout
- $522.2
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.42
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.96
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.93
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.53
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 97.8% 676.51 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 1?Yes 98% 673.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 98.5% 522.2 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.3% 669.26 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?No 97.9% 672.02 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 30?No 98% 389.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 98.1% 208.79 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?No 98.3% 621.13 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.5% 662.1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?Yes 97.4% 667.45 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?Yes 98.3% 655.53 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 28?No 97.7% 659.09 shares