Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $560.33
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$565.34
Polymarket Trader
0xCb82aB8e3E654a5dB7DEAE7276973D83a3580762-1778100374512
0xcb82ab8e3e654a5db7deae7276973d83a3580762
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $788.66
- Realized PnL
- -$4.14
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $228.32
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$143.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.6% 3,482.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 25.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 2,335.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 1,211.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 24% 552.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp 99% 4.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown 41% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown 34% 11.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 37% 13.51 shares