Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $16.24K
- Potential payout
- $19.93K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.14K
Polymarket Trader
justme003
0xcb894d56b6ed7f458e8534636a086b65e915a2e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.74K
- Realized PnL
- $15.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $18.79K
- Potential payout
- $18.89K
- Potential profit
- $103.91
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.18K
- Potential payout
- $17.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $13.38K
- Potential payout
- $15.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.22K
- Potential payout
- $12.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $11.06K
- Potential payout
- $11.64K
- Potential profit
- $582.18
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $11.31K
- Potential payout
- $11.48K
- Potential profit
- $177.99
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.84K
- Potential payout
- $10.98K
- Potential profit
- $142.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $232.27
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Current value
- $5.9K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $33.83
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.55K
- Potential payout
- $6.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$357.08
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $6.62K
- Potential payout
- $6.86K
- Potential profit
- $243.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $583.91
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.24K
- Potential payout
- $6.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$197.49
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $6K
- Potential payout
- $6.05K
- Potential profit
- $54.48
- User PnL
- $171.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $379.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Current value
- $4.33K
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $518.31
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $577.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $33.95
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $2.95K
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $55.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$11.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- User PnL
- $102.15
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $351.81
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $116.84
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $134.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $303.4
No position
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $381.96
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $127.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $38.86
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $121.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$14.06
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $120
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.71
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $888.84
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $747.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.79
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.68
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.3
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.3
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.88
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 95% 70 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 94% 39.2 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?No 98.5% 3,005.57 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 93% 138.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 90.4% 661.32 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 91% 0.88 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 77% 639.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 90.9% 1,657 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.3% 670.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87.2% 149.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 87% 591 shares