Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $283.51
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.3
Polymarket Trader
invik0
@invik0
0xcb8da59f401cdd2e1b7739d892a89a4a7ae59382
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $370.01
- Realized PnL
- $413.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$38.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $86.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.12
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.68
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Pistons position
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 99.3% 600 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 98.8% 600 shares
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 19.1% 200 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 189.69 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 98.7% 1,115.51 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 1,115.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No 98.7% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No 98.7% 639.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No 98.8% 28 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 0.13 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 95.9% 181.73 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes 94% 170 shares