Polymarket Trader

qiaolu

0xcba0b2e108b3974de8ff5bb592d4b0aced2597bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $17.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.89K
Potential profit: $33.89K
User PnL: -$548.78

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.27K
Potential profit: $26.27K
User PnL: -$26.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22K
Potential profit: $22K
User PnL: -$100.91

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.2K
Potential profit: $15.2K
User PnL: -$374.97

No position

Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.12K
Potential profit: $14.12K
User PnL: -$18.22

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.16K
Potential profit: $11.16K
User PnL: -$94.35

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $10.6K
User PnL: -$204.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.18K
Potential profit: $10.18K
User PnL: -$160.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $7.12K
User PnL: -$35.31

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.96K
User PnL: -$58.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.57K
User PnL: -$209.39

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $4.35K
User PnL: -$325.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
User PnL: -$126.54

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.19K
Potential profit: $4.19K
User PnL: -$468.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$56.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$79.49

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$144.38

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$185.57

Down position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$149.18

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$104.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$92.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.75K
User PnL: -$76.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $920.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $879.99

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825.3

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.74

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $708.77

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.97

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.26

No position

U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.55

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.81

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.08

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.97

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $361.49

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.25

Broncos position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 81% 100 shares
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5

Over 24% 15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?

No 12% 50 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?

No 13% 115 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?

No 28% 128 shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

G2 99% 200 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 19% 100 shares
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Yes 26% 45.46 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 73% 300 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

No 90% 100 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 36% 50 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 36% 50 shares