Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $71.14
- Potential payout
- $406.5
- Potential profit
- $335.37
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$28.86
Polymarket Trader
0xcba2...7bd4
0xcba2de21d12ede8d92a493d7fcb983dde90b7bd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $107.63
- Realized PnL
- $556.4
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $124.38
- Potential profit
- $119.28
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $31.39
- Potential payout
- $34.31
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.31
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.26
Yes position
Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.95
Yes position
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.6% 406.5 shares
- Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans 17% 58.53 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 12% 82.92 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 29% 34.31 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 22% 45.23 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8% 124.38 shares
- Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?Yes 7.8% 127.26 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?Yes 0.3% 908.25 shares
- Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?No 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 0.4% 1,117.92 shares
- Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 3.5% 286.86 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No 3.7% 268.92 shares