Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130K
- Potential profit
- $130K
- User PnL
- -$398.58
Polymarket Trader
GoldenSpin
0xcba38f8e07955a5f45816753d7c4a6ae8af06055
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $936.01
- Realized PnL
- $52.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.1K
- Potential profit
- $102.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $85K
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.32K
- Potential profit
- $54.32K
- User PnL
- -$236.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.94K
- Potential profit
- $47.94K
- User PnL
- -$991.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.74K
- Potential profit
- $31.74K
- User PnL
- -$402.83
Yes position
Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$102.98
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.95K
- Potential profit
- $21.95K
- User PnL
- -$241.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52K
- Potential profit
- $20.52K
- User PnL
- -$50.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.66K
- Potential profit
- $17.66K
- User PnL
- -$35.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.5K
- Potential profit
- $14.5K
- User PnL
- -$246.5
Yes position
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$250
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $936.01
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $9.07K
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$851.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.01K
- Potential profit
- $9.01K
- User PnL
- -$45.04
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.94K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $899
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $808.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $754.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $710.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.49
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 8-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $439.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.64
No position
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 8-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $365.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 38% 166.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 14.6% 57.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 14.9% 150.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 14.8% 218.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 16.6% 1,605.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 20% 1,447.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 18.4% 702.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 18.9% 1,310.91 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 18.9% 2,688.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 16.1% 297.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 16.1% 430 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 15.6% 575.66 shares