No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $866
- Potential profit
- $866
- User PnL
- -$51.9
Polymarket Trader
serg47
0xcba6e5c09705872aa54a631a2aea7ccdac346435
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.52
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$50.84
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $14.16
- Potential payout
- $690.96
- Potential profit
- $676.8
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$8.37
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$75.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $530
- User PnL
- -$24.21
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.76
- Potential profit
- $301.76
- User PnL
- -$13.42
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $245.84
- Potential profit
- $245.47
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $239.99
- User PnL
- -$4.61
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $18.42
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $91.57
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $79.69
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $666.65
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.1
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.35
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.57
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.66
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.81
No position
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.18
No position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.18
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.78
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.55
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.19
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.83
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.13
Yes position
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.74
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.03
No position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?No 1% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?No 3.2% 10 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 0.8% 220 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 0.8% 350 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 3.6% 130 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 3.5% 41.77 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 1.9% 46.84 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 3% 160 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 5.6% 2.4 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 6% 80 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?No 2.3% 78.11 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 8% 60 shares