Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$288.63
Polymarket Trader
tai22
0xcba91b10a4ac878c27f47476c4c8628a32c133f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $283.38
- Realized PnL
- $345.53
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $283.38
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $49.62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.32
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $72.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?No 67% 5 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?No 75% 5 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No 84% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 80% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 92% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No 95.2% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 97% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 99.5% 5 shares