Polymarket Trader

gdw6

0xcbab32f3fb2a64a4df2eddda9b65b9e53642cad4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.85K
Realized PnL: $15.01K
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $63.46K
Potential profit: $60.95K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$793.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $7.34K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $24.66K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.93K
Potential profit: $12.93K
User PnL: -$400.93

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24K

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.56

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $68.12

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.74

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.25

No position

Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

No position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.57

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41.34

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$90.8

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$95.52

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$923.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.3% 32,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 68,054.31 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 30,275.22 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.4% 68,054.32 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 63,461.54 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 30,275.23 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 78.1% 30,000 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 81.8% 20,000 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 33% 30,303.03 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.3% 1,989.92 shares
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No 95.1% 20 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

No 5% 3,051.04 shares