Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $117.64K
- Potential payout
- $117.81K
- Potential profit
- $176.72
- User PnL
- $23.36K
Polymarket Trader
ameameameameame
0xcbab47f889ffffbb603f600a5feeb0eca0cc9a8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.6K
- Realized PnL
- $46.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $767.6
- Potential payout
- $95.95K
- Potential profit
- $95.18K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$77K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $36.91K
- Potential payout
- $37.88K
- Potential profit
- $965.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $17.28K
- Potential payout
- $31.14K
- Potential profit
- $13.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.02K
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $16.19K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $615.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $9.33K
- Potential payout
- $12.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.23K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $9.71K
- Potential profit
- $8.42K
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$655.88
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $563.83
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$42.77
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.94K
- Potential payout
- $4.99K
- Potential profit
- $57.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $56.26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.6%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$574.44
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $480.87
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$645.64
Yes position
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $660.29
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $152.94
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $155.37
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $33.78
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $209.4
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $155.37
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $925.43
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $425.56
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$33.77
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.3%
- Current value
- $846.03
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $375.67
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $190.94
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $20.59
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$52.24
No position
Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $982.8
- Potential payout
- $986.25
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- $146.85
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $596.35
- Potential payout
- $816.92
- Potential profit
- $220.57
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $182.18
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $621.25
- Potential payout
- $639.81
- Potential profit
- $18.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.46
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $125.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $374.75
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
No position
Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $375.83
- Potential payout
- $376.96
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- User PnL
- $22.63
No position
Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $325.5
- Potential payout
- $329.45
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $257.89
- Potential payout
- $259.71
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- User PnL
- $1.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.3
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $726.78
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $714.01
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.5
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.37
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $674.57
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 7.2% 471.63 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 36.3% 2,262.49 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 37.6% 2,425 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.7% 1,055.95 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 78% 1,351 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.9% 6,579.56 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 99.5% 113.07 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 99.6% 77.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 99.5% 200.55 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 99.6% 3,324.38 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 99.4% 267.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 65% 20,000 shares