Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $285.6
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $54.4
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
AscendancyLF
0xcbad5a1da59eb104d6c72dc0a882eaa1bfead056
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.6
- Realized PnL
- $2.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.66
- Potential profit
- $24.66
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.38
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.25
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.49
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.87
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.02
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.57
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.19
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.07
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.56
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.65
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.58
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.16
Yes position
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.09
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.55
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 20?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.45
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 85% 245 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 83% 95 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 94.7% 300 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 63% 200 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 45% 88.88 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes 95.7% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 12% 24.66 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 72.3% 755.34 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 48.7% 453 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 7.5% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No 10% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes 77% 69 shares