Polymarket Trader

lskdjlfjs

0xcbb0a53223e45e8319cc1ee4db3a76a9678dbd65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $151.3
Realized PnL: $161.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.8%
Current value: $12.57
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $7.44
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$12.7

No position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $13.29
Potential profit: $13.04
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $4.71
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $4.36
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: -$2.91

No position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.8%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.93
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.46
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

No position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $8.99

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

No position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $7.29

No position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.2%
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $5.79

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.2%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

No position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

No position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

No 94.2% 38.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

No 99.9% 35.94 shares
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?

No 99.9% 35.91 shares
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18

No 99.9% 35.87 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $260 on October 11?

No 99.9% 35.84 shares
Will Solana dip to $140 September 29-October 5?

No 99.9% 35.8 shares
Will Solana reach $350 in September?

No 99.9% 35.76 shares
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Yes 0.8% 6 shares
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?

Yes 99.6% 15 shares
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?

Yes 1.7% 5.39 shares
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Yes 1.3% 6 shares
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 4.9% 6 shares