Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.16
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Polymarket Trader
anonguest123454321135797531
0xcbb55f8dddb717de25864b3bb6f01fb6b30fbc0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.98
- Realized PnL
- $266.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
Yes position
Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Yes position
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Andrey Esipenko vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Divya Deshmukh win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 15.5% 12.9 shares
- Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 37% 2.7 shares
- Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 37% 10.81 shares
- Will Divya Deshmukh win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 15.6% 25.6 shares
- Will Ju Wenjun win Norway Chess 2026?No 79% 3.8 shares
- Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 56.9% 8.79 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.6% 11.63 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?Yes 80% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?Yes 20.9% 5.42 shares