Polymarket Trader

sherlock518

0xcbcc0fdead6e70833733e0f3be247e025a024a86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.9
Realized PnL: $137.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.01
Potential payout: $23.4
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $20.93
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.8
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Bulls

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Celtics position

Raptors vs. Celtics

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Seahawks position

Texans vs. Seahawks

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Nuggets position

Bulls vs. Nuggets

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Tjen position

Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Janice Tjen

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Wizards

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Alabama position

LSU vs. Alabama

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Oilers position

Canadiens vs. Oilers

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Kraken position

Kraken vs. Jets

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

49ers position

Falcons vs. 49ers

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Hurricanes position

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Jets position

Blackhawks vs. Jets

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Bruins position

Senators vs. Bruins

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Lions position

Buccaneers vs. Lions

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Thunder position

Rockets vs. Thunder

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Kent State Golden Flashes position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Kennesaw State position

Kennesaw State vs. Florida International

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Nuggets position

Heat vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Air Force position

Air Force vs. San Jose State

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

South Alabama position

South Alabama vs. Georgia State

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 98.6% 12.04 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93.2% 23.44 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 82% 3.61 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

No 72% 1.81 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.5% 1.08 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 90.3% 1.13 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 90.3% 0.14 shares