Polymarket Trader

sepehrs

0xcbcf1b4487ce8553b8205439db04603bbeadba89

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $270.55
Realized PnL: $3.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.77K
Potential profit: $4.77K
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $129.46
Potential payout: $809.15
Potential profit: $679.68
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$419.54

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $528.09
Potential profit: $527.56
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$91.47

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $33.49
Potential payout: $515.21
Potential profit: $481.72
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$53.31

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $69.05
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $407.14
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$30.95

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $36.18
Potential payout: $289.44
Potential profit: $253.26
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$43.82

Under position

1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.98
Potential profit: $258.98
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $218.24
Potential profit: $218.02
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $192.86
Potential profit: $191.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.27
Potential profit: $181.27
User PnL: -$30

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.17
Potential profit: $178.17
User PnL: -$104.4

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.03
Potential profit: $165.03
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.52
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.29
Potential profit: $111.12
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.83

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.2
Potential profit: $107.2
User PnL: -$45.83

Yes position

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.33
Potential profit: $89.33
User PnL: -$30

Magic position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.34
Potential profit: $87.34
User PnL: -$40.23

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.83
Potential profit: $86.83
User PnL: -$30

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.63
Potential profit: $83.63
User PnL: -$44.82

Team Liquid position

LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.15
Potential profit: $83.15
User PnL: -$55.24

Yes position

Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.46
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $868.42

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.17

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.76

Yes position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.89

Pelicans position

Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.94

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Devils

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

Magic position

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

Hurricanes position

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.73

Magic position

Spread: Magic (-10.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

Over position

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.55

No position

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.69

Blues position

Maple Leafs vs. Blues

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.64

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

Capitals position

Flyers vs. Capitals

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

Nongshim Esports Academy position

LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs

Toronto Blue Jays 47% 5 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox 37% 4.86 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

No 85% 5 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

No 48% 5 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 59% 5 shares
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 48% 4.38 shares
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun 47% 4.87 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 5 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Angels 50% 5 shares
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers

Minnesota Twins 45% 5 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies 37% 4.86 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

No 95.5% 5.01 shares