No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.2K
- Potential profit
- $151.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.49K
Polymarket Trader
AlwaysRegressing
0xcbefb876789cc63b46b030af3cfe20b986f29ab0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.99K
- Realized PnL
- $4.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $36.36K
- Potential profit
- $33.27K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.11K
- Potential profit
- $21.11K
- User PnL
- -$2.68K
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $17.93K
- Potential payout
- $20.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.39K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.03K
- Potential profit
- $16.03K
- User PnL
- -$79.99
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.04K
- Potential profit
- $14.04K
- User PnL
- -$363.95
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $5.93K
- Potential payout
- $13.19K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.84K
- Potential profit
- $11.84K
- User PnL
- -$20.95
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- User PnL
- -$219.35
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.82K
- Potential profit
- $5.82K
- User PnL
- -$809.57
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $4.33K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$160.1
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 29, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$121.2
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $797.2
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $798
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $798
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $748.13
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $747.38
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $745.88
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $523.29
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.52
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.46
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.83
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.82
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.38
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.6
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $130.22
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.58
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.13
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $80.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.89
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.26
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.96
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.37
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.59
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.06
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.48
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.22
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 10% 149.76 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No 9% 55.56 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 9% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Yes 91.2% 31.26 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 46% 86.96 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Yes 32% 31.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 34.5% 181.9 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 42.3% 59.17 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No 41% 60.63 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 44.7% 26.84 shares