No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $43.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Polymarket Trader
grbn
0xcbf738cddb8df3b08a1450387f8290746e740b92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.33
- Realized PnL
- $619.07
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.85
- Potential profit
- $51.85
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.21
No position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.75
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.13
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.88
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.84
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.64
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 15% 333.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 136.36 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 136.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 48.9% 58.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 15.3% 161.29 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 17% 58.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 30.6% 90.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 77% 149.37 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 66.9% 149.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 89.1% 83.95 shares