Polymarket Trader

giss

0xcbf9ddd4e9f5f89da5bf49a0f59f2127d1c464f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $3.17K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$979.31

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $462.61
Potential payout: $474.72
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $430.07
Potential payout: $442
Potential profit: $11.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $19.3

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $106.06
Potential payout: $106.33
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $91.33
Potential payout: $91.65
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $1.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.76

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.21

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.08

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.02

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.1

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.25

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.62

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.44

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.34

No position

2025 August second hottest on record?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.6

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.25

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.82

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.86

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.88

No position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.59

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in October 2025 (LS)?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.2% 74.72 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.2% 400 shares
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?

No 98.4% 106.33 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

No 98% 175 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in June 2026?

No 97.5% 91.65 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

No 91% 146 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?

No 88% 121 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

No 99.3% 47.21 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

No 99.2% 156.79 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?

No 97% 133 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

No 98.7% 30.76 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?

No 98.7% 100 shares