Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
Tommy91
0xcc00d44f6cd23df7a92878a50ebaba4e6b4d0115
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $3.66K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$161
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $162.27
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$37.73
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$416.56
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$66.42
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $209.06
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- -$153.16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $952.63
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $942.79
- Potential profit
- $942.79
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $409.2
- Potential payout
- $880
- Potential profit
- $470.8
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $56.64
- Potential payout
- $871.43
- Potential profit
- $814.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $633.86
- Potential profit
- $633.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $84.38
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $540.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$115.63
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.62
- Potential profit
- $606.62
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.42
- Potential profit
- $581.42
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $25.82
- Potential payout
- $543.61
- Potential profit
- $517.79
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$74.18
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.69
- Potential profit
- $407.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $15.22
- Potential payout
- $390.33
- Potential profit
- $375.1
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$85.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $210.81
- Potential profit
- $209.86
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.12
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.16
- Potential profit
- $184.16
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.73
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.45
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.38
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $56.78
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $26.56
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Yes position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.64
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 5,499.98 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 29.1% 117 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 28.8% 5 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 28.8% 91.3 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 5% 2,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 44% 880 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 8% 33.93 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 6% 1,661.98 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 14.7% 681.9 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 30.5% 655.74 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No 88.7% 2,658.71 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No 3.8% 2,658.71 shares