OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $306
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$72
Polymarket Trader
NancyAustin8837
0xcc0308a334103bc5756794e5e3965ffa8069cd5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.89
- Realized PnL
- $3.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Eureka Red Devils position
Eureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $594.7
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "Iran" on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.35
Yes position
Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $467.66
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $335.16
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.67
Yes position
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $214.24
No position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.93
No position
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.48
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.42
Under position
FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.06
Yes position
Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.92
Yes position
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.6
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.96
No position
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.96
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $39.25
No position
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.1
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $22.68
Yes position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.52
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.48
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $15.03
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5Under 59.6% 265 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?No 87% 1,261 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No 82% 687 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?No 48% 12 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?No 48% 16 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?No 48% 19 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5Under 76.9% 677 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No 41% 687 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?No 48.5% 212 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 67% 1,011 shares
- Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?No 48% 38 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 71% 1,011 shares