No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $64.24K
- Potential payout
- $70.98K
- Potential profit
- $6.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.37K
Polymarket Trader
zhaoyk
0xcc033f89eb48f85ed62b727f0745bb651578d5c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.56K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.46K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $7.94K
- Potential payout
- $35.28K
- Potential profit
- $27.34K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.26K
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.08K
- Potential payout
- $19.44K
- Potential profit
- $15.36K
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $910.19
- Potential payout
- $6.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.83K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $17.62
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$82.86
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $371.84
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $633.13
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$61.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $743.56
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.6
No position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $24.6
No position
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$35.87
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$40.09
No position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$111.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$117.16
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$186.52
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$541.55
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$691.9
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 14.7% 6,742.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 90% 1,100 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 28.6% 3,120.79 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1,013.62 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 26.8% 3,320.36 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1,000 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 35.4% 1,561.03 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 600 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 33.8% 567.91 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 240 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 34.8% 574.15 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 229 shares