Polymarket Trader

KellyCarzy

0xcc1127558879d8fb2b263a5ac0316d26371d6458

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.2
Realized PnL: $372.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.74
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.92
Potential profit: $7.92
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Celtics position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.47

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Spurs position

76ers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.17

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

Rockets position

76ers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.46

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Nuggets position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

Hawks position

Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Spurs position

Hornets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.38

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Wizards

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

Nuggets position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53

Raptors position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Nets

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

Knicks position

Pelicans vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

76ers position

76ers vs. Pacers

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Nuggets position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

No 81.1% 6.17 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

No 88.4% 6.79 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 83.1% 6.02 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63.1% 7.92 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 1.41 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

No 8.2% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares