buttcoinjackson

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $76.01
Potential payout: $266.8
Potential profit: $190.79
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $35.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $18.36
Potential payout: $215.99
Potential profit: $197.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $69.92
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $107.09
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $119.19
Potential payout: $174
Potential profit: $54.81
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $13.26
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $156.74
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$7.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $38.57
Potential payout: $122.45
Potential profit: $83.88
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $27.54
Potential payout: $117.18
Potential profit: $89.64
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $81.73
Potential payout: $111.2
Potential profit: $29.47
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $38.24
Potential payout: $110.87
Potential profit: $72.63
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$4.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $80.3
Potential payout: $109.25
Potential profit: $28.95
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $73.64
Potential payout: $107.5
Potential profit: $33.86
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$8.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $81.9
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $20.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $75.67
Potential payout: $85.5
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$26.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $32.78
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $46.22
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $40.01
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $17.99
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$34.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $44.99
User PnL: -$18.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.64
Potential profit: $43.64
User PnL: -$17.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $43.45
Potential profit: $42.93
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $32.61
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.5
Potential profit: $34.5
User PnL: -$25.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $4.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?