Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.39
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
0xcC36DFa5Cf09ccCc4Bf668609c30Df3117cB9E9f-1764607948211
0xcc36dfa5cf09cccc4bf668609c30df3117cb9e9f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.42
- Realized PnL
- $179.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.01
- Potential profit
- $24.01
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.68
- Potential profit
- $18.68
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $17.94
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $15.52
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.13
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- User PnL
- -$3.94
No position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $11.7
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.43
- Potential profit
- $11.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.06
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.87
- Potential profit
- $9.87
- User PnL
- -$2.96
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $9.65
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $8.11
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $6.9
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.78
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.62
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 54% 5.37 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 31?Yes 50% 3 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 37% 4.05 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 57% 3.4 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 40% 5 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 9.87 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.6% 10.96 shares
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under 33% 2.17 shares