DrakoonZ

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.15
Potential profit: $136.15
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.93
Potential profit: $111.93
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.45
Potential profit: $66.45
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.16
Potential profit: $65.16
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.17
Potential profit: $59.17
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.55
Potential profit: $50.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.22
Potential profit: $40.22
User PnL: -$30

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: December

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.74
Potential profit: $32.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.42
Potential profit: $32.42
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $27.66
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.36
Potential profit: $12.36
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.12
Potential profit: $11.12
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

BNB all time high by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 5PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET