Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $70.41
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $22.51
Polymarket Trader
0xcC3ef03D700F65F613848506Ff2bDB6F1B527304-1763827508452
0xcc3ef03d700f65f613848506ff2bdb6f1b527304
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $196.68
- Realized PnL
- $76.79
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $59.3
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$48.36
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $65.07
- Potential payout
- $406.7
- Potential profit
- $341.63
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $46.52
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.12
- Potential profit
- $180.12
- User PnL
- -$46.23
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $62.37
- Potential profit
- $62.22
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- $77.48
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.35
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.88
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.55
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.54
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$30.39
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.91
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 5% 5 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 108.69 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.7% 361.06 shares
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?Yes 1.1% 10 shares
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?Yes 0.5% 2,037.39 shares
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?Yes 0.8% 632.38 shares
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?Yes 2.8% 194.35 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes 5.1% 19.5 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes 20% 65.93 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes 20% 100 shares