Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $11.65
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $4.65K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.98
Polymarket Trader
MushroomChamp
0xcc4dbf16b4a5d1d6c36623c01559aa40b8fd3e59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $809.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $12.54
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $38.78
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $995.23
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $258.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $741.5
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $58.5
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $990.5
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $160.5
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $839.48
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $60.5
Yes position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $30.72
- Potential payout
- $867.78
- Potential profit
- $837.06
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$56.06
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $231.57
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $388.43
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $132.37
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- -$99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $31.05
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $198.95
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$31.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $104.08
- Potential profit
- $94.19
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$33.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
Manchester City FC position
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
Sam Patterson position
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.96
- Potential profit
- $99.96
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.86
- Potential profit
- $58.86
- User PnL
- -$36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.18
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $117.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.84
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.4
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $79.4
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.33
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5 AND Sweden to score first vs. France? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?9% 216.22 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 61% 49.18 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 3.7% 846 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 62% 9.68 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4% 500 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.1% 1,620 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 330 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 15% 500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 37.4% 700 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 33.5% 397.7 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 10% 325 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 95.3% 200 shares